{"id":136,"date":"2022-08-02T12:48:07","date_gmt":"2022-08-02T10:48:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/?p=136"},"modified":"2022-08-02T15:34:18","modified_gmt":"2022-08-02T13:34:18","slug":"il-y-a-de-plus-en-plus-de-malpolis-vrai-ou-faux","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/2022\/08\/02\/il-y-a-de-plus-en-plus-de-malpolis-vrai-ou-faux\/","title":{"rendered":"Il y a de plus en plus de malpolis, vrai ou faux ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Ce mod\u00e8le montre le r\u00f4le de la densit\u00e9 de population dans la surestimation de l&#8217;augmentation du nombre d&#8217;incivilit\u00e9s. Plus la population est dense, comme dans une grande ville, plus on rencontre de monde, et donc plus on a de risques d&#8217;\u00eatre t\u00e9moin d&#8217;incivilit\u00e9s, m\u00eame si leur proportion n&#8217;augmente pas. Ce mod\u00e8le montre aussi la confusion entre valeur absolue (le nombre d&#8217;incivilit\u00e9s dont chacun est t\u00e9moin) et valeur relative (la proportion des personnes rencontr\u00e9es qui sont malpolies). La valeur absolue augmente proportionnellement \u00e0 la taille de la population, m\u00eame quand la valeur relative reste stable. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/malpolis.html\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/malpolis.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Essayer !<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Il s&#8217;agit bien s\u00fbr d&#8217;un mod\u00e8le simplifi\u00e9, qui ne pr\u00e9tend pas dire si le nombre d&#8217;incivilit\u00e9s augmente ou pas, mais cherche seulement \u00e0 visualiser les biais humains d&#8217;interpr\u00e9tation des chiffres. Une autre simplification consiste \u00e0 consid\u00e9rer que ce sont toujours les m\u00eames individus (ici les carr\u00e9s rouges) qui sont malpolis. Comme toujours, un mod\u00e8le n&#8217;est qu&#8217;une vue abstraite et simplifi\u00e9e de la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 !<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Il ne faut pas confondre valeur absolue et valeur relative. Plus la densit\u00e9 de population augmente, plus les contacts augmentent, c&#8217;est m\u00e9canique.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,4],"tags":[14,12,15],"class_list":["post-136","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-biais-cognitifs","category-society","tag-densite","tag-relativite","tag-surestimation"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/136","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=136"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/136\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":138,"href":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/136\/revisions\/138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=136"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=136"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nausikaa.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=136"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}